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Raising On The Flop
The first thing that you should know about raising on the pre flop raises is that it is not going to force out any player who flopped any kind of hand at all or any kind of flush or straight draw. No low limit player is going to throw his hand away if he flopped a four-flush, an open-end straight draw, an inside straight draw, a set, two split pair, an overpair, or has a pair in the pocket. Many low limit players will flop absolutely nothing and they will call to see the turn card just to see if they can pick up a straight or flush draw. For example, a player holds 8♦ 7♦ and the flop is A ♦ 6♠ 2♥. He has absolutely nothing, but one of twenty-two cards will give him a straight or a flush to draw to (ten diamonds, three T’s, three 5’s and three 4’s). This gives him an incredible 46.8% chance of picking up a draw on the turn even though he has nothing on the flop. Using the table of Drawing Odds From a Deck of 47 Unseen Cards on page 204, you can see that he then has a 19.6% chance of completing his flush and a 17.4% chance of making the straight draw. Even though this is a bad play, once he does pick up the draw on the turn, it’s the same thing as if he had the draw on the flop but missed on the turn. The difference is that he will have to pay see the turn without a draw if he wants to play like this and that’s where you’ll make your money. Again, make opponents pay to draw out on you. All you’re doing when you raise on the flop is building a pot, even though your intention is to give them the wrong odds to play. You’ll just have to take your ad Beats in stride, knowing that you will be a poker winner in the long run. You should definitely raise and reraise if you flop top pair with top kicker and think you have the best hand at that point. You are a 2 to 1 favorite against any single straight or flush draw and a 4 to 1 favorite over any other player who has top pair with a weaker kicker than you do. Don’t let them draw out on you for free. This is the most common situation in Hold’em when you flop a split pair. You hold something like A ♦ Q ♥ and the flop is Q ♠ T ♦ 5 ♣. You have top pair with top kicker and you’re usually a favorite to win the hand. A side benefit to playing your hand like this is that when there is also a flush draw on the board, your opponents won’t know which of the two hands you have; the top pair or the flush draw. This little bit of doubt in their minds helps you because you’ll be called slightly more often on the river when the flush card does not come. If your opponent knew you flopped top pair then he wouldn’t have to call on the river if he knows he can’t beat it. But, if he thinks you might have had a flush draw and missed, and he can beat that, then he’ll call you more often on the river. The possible flush draw raises the possibility that you missed and could bluffing. And all of this just because of one little raise on the flop. Using the above example, it very likely that someone flopped a set of Queens, Tens or Fives, or someone has flopped two pair; Queens and Tens. There is also a good chance that someone has a pair of Aces or Kings in the pocket. And you have to be especially careful if one of the raisers is in the blind. He could have anything , got a miracle flop and is now betting to protect it. Another time to raise on the flop is if you suspect the pre-flop raiser has Ace-King and has missed on the flop, which will happen 73% of the time. One way to tell if he missed on the flop is if, in your mind, he bet it out too fast on the flop. If he actually did have pocket Aces or Kings, he’d have to take a second to look at the flop to figure out all the possible draws and how the flop affects his hand. But, since he’s already decided he’s going to bet regardless of what the flop is, he doesn’t need any time to decide what to do, does he? Since it’s often correct for him to bet one time even when he misses, you would like to find out what he’s got while the bets are still relatively cheap. A raise here will often win the pot outright if he does have the Ace-King. If you only call on the flop, you are giving him an uncontested chance to pick up an Ace or King on the turn or river to possibly beat you. Remember that three out of four times that a low limit poker player raises pre-flop, he does not have a pair in the pocket. If you are reraised, you should probably give him credit for the overpair and muck your hand since it now appears that you are the underdog. Another common reason to raise on the flop is to get a free card if you are on a draw. Actually, you are not really getting a free card. What you are getting is a cheap card. This is how it works: you are in late position with A ♥ 8♥ and the flop is K ♥ 7♥ 5♣. There is a bet from an early position and you get four callers. When it gets to you, you raise and everybody calls. From this point, the hand is going to turn out one of two ways, and they are both profitable for you: 1st Scenario: Your raise on the flop indicates that you have a good hand. Everyone gives in to the temptation to “check to the raiser” and that’s what happens on the turn. The turn cards not help you and you also check. The river card is not a flush card (you missed you ♥ draw) and you don’t call on the river if there’s bet. You got to see the turn and river card for free (actually it cost $4 ) and you did not have to pay to draw to your hand. Raising to get a free card saved you a total of $ 16 ($ 8 on both the turn and river). You got to draw two cards to the nut hand without having to pay for the privilege. 2nd Scenario: The turn card is a flush card. You now have a ♥ flush and the nuts at this point. You bet and get called on both the turn and the river. You win the hand and your raise on the flop got $ 4 more from four other players that would not have been in the pot if you had not raised. In other words, you got in an extra bet with a winning hand. Whether you win the hand or not, your raise on the flop saves you money if you miss your hand, and it makes you more money when you win the starting hand. It’s a win-win situation. If you have trouble imagining this. Try this simple exercise. Give yourself A ♠ J ♠ and put K ♠ 8♠ 4♥ up as the flop. Give yourself and four imaginary opponents thirty chips each for each of the following examples- A, B, C and D. You’re going to perform four exercises and write down on a piece of paper how many chips you are left with at the end of each one.
Notice that you have more money in your stack with each succeeding exercise and that you save the most money when you raise and miss. And of course, you make the most money when you raise and make it. For this reason, a player who does raise on the flop is less likely to end up with a full house. When he does raise on the flop, he usually will not have the two pair or trips that it takes to improve to a full house. An exception would be if the raiser was in the blind, in which case you’d better be prepared for any type of hand on the river. Playing on the Turn
Another time to check when you make your hand on the turn, is when you think that by checking, a player will bet into you but that player would not even call if you bet. In other words, you should check if you think it will induce a bluff from a player who would not call if you bet. There’s more about bluffing later in this chapter, also. |
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